The Budget did not do much to support the British stock market, but general pessimism makes it easier for opportunities to remain hidden
Terry Tanaka advises investors to seize the opportunity while it's still available.
The economist Adam Smith once said, "There is a great deal of ruin in a nation," which means that a prosperous nation can endure many errors and ineptitude before collapsing. Naturally, he didn't mean for politicians to be encouraged to give it their all. All of the British governments of the last ten years seem to have missed that point.
As Andrew, Kalpana, and I discuss on the new BFIA Talks podcast, the most recent budget is incredibly depressing: it is anti-growth, anti-optimism, and anti-investing. Naturally, there was nothing to allay mounting concerns about a protracted economic downturn. The undermining of things that continue to function for no apparent reason seemed like a new low.
The reversal of a large portion of the flexibility introduced by the ISA only ten years ago. the reduction of venture capital trust tax breaks during a period of low fundraising. the maximum amount of salary sacrifice made for pension contributions. Alongside these were ridiculous proposals like the three-year exemption from stamp duty for new initial public offerings (IPOs), which won't help revitalize the London Stock Exchange, which is becoming more and more dormant. They all point to a chancellor and a Treasury that are clueless about their goals.
The stock market in Britain has untapped potential.
Nonetheless, the degree of pessimism regarding Britain and the stock market's sluggishness likely makes it easier for opportunities to remain hidden. Investment trusts are an example. Infrastructure, renewable energy, private equity, real estate, and other niche strategies are among the industries that trade at enormous discounts to net asset value (NAV). When funds take significant write-downs as they wind down and attempt to sell assets, we see that these discounts are sometimes justified and that reported NAVs are not realistic. However, in other instances, we observe funds making sales that are at least close to their carrying value, which supports the validity of NAVs. In general, there is a significant amount of mispricing because there aren't enough investors to put in all the effort.
This will not last forever. Specialists will remove assets that are worth more than their market value. The market will contract as these one-time gains are snatched up, which is detrimental to London's long-term viability. However, as investors, we are only able to take the opportunities that are presented to us.
It's worth looking at MIGO Opportunities Trust (LSE: MIGO), one of the few funds that invest in other closed-ended funds, as more activist attention will help accelerate this process. The trusts strategy is moving toward a more concentrated portfolio and increased engagement to unlock value under Charlotte Cuthbertson and Tom Treanor of Asset Value Investors. With 75 million in assets, it will have little overlap with its 1.3 billion stablemate, AVI Global Trust (LSE: AGT), and can take significant positions in small targets. This makes it a clear method of taking advantage of some of the market's blind spots.
Trust MIGO Opportunities.
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