Investment Advice

"A jet pack is needed for European markets"

"A jet pack is needed for European markets"
Europe's and Britain's stock markets are painfully lagging behind the US market, which is racing ahead

Terry Tanaka says that needs to change.

The SpaceX IPO will be enormous by European stock market standards. Given how frothy Wall Street is at the moment, it wouldn't be shocking if the company went to a significant premium in its first few days of trading. The company is expected to be valued between £1.75 trillion and £2 trillion. The valuation may be questioned by all. The plans for a Mars colony appear, to put it politely, a little optimistic, but the Starlink company, which currently offers internet access on flights, is a clear money-spinner and may be able to break into domestic broadband as well. In spite of this, the company is enormous, extremely successful, and has produced a great deal of value in a very short time.

It is by no means alone. According to reports, Anthropic, the company that created Claude AI, is preparing an initial public offering (IPO) in October at a valuation of at least £1 trillion. With a valuation of nearly £1 trillion, its rival OpenAI, the company that created ChatGPT, is also anticipated to list later this year. Slightly smaller businesses are located right behind it. AI chip manufacturer Cerebras debuted on Nasdaq last week, and following a first-day premium, its value skyrocketed to £95 billion. Amazing wealth is being created on the US market at an unbelievable rate. SpaceX was founded in 2002, but it didn't really take off until ten years ago. Anthropic is only five years old, OpenAI is ten years old (its profit-making unit is only five).

It hurts to compare the stock markets in Europe. SpaceX alone will be worth nearly as much as the entire French CAC-40, which is currently valued at 2.6 trillion and is rapidly declining as LVMH's value declines. SpaceX and Anthropic together will undoubtedly be worth more than all of the UK's top 100 companies put together, and it will be approaching the total value of Britain's FTSE 100, which is currently valued at 2.4 trillion.

Problems with BFIA today. .

More innovators like Elon Musk are needed in the European stock markets.

Elon Musk stands by.

It is obvious why. There aren't many new businesses being established. The newest business on the CAC-40, excluding mergers, is Eurofins Scientific, which was established in 1987. The best businesses, even those that are just starting out, choose to list on Wall Street. For instance, the Cambridge-based chip designer ARM is currently valued at £220 billion, making it the third largest in the FTSE 100 if it had chosen to list here.

Europe, including the UK, must acknowledge how far behind it has fallen and begin figuring out how to get back on track. First, in order to promote more entrepreneurs, start-up taxes should be drastically reduced. The majority of Europe never had any concessions to begin with, and Britain has reduced the capital-gains tax break that was previously available to anyone starting a new business. Rather, a steady stream of new wealth taxes and capital-gains taxes are implemented, with the Netherlands planning to tax capital gains even before they have been cashed in. It makes sense that there are significantly fewer start-ups and, consequently, fewer giants ever appear.

Restrictions on emerging industries like artificial intelligence and space should be lifted by European stock markets. Europe has a Space Act while the US has a thriving space industry, and Europe is stuck with an AI Act while massive new AI companies are being established across the Atlantic. However, without an industry to regulate, there is no use in having a regulator. Politicians in Brussels and London continue to show little indication that they are aware of the harm caused by attempting to regulate industries before they have even started.

Lastly, Europe ought to loosen the listing requirements for business owners like Elon Musk who wish to maintain control over their companies. If Musk is able to establish a successful human colony on Mars, SpaceX will face harsh criticism for giving him so much control over the company and the £1 trillion compensation package. It doesn't adhere to European governance norms. But so what? Entrepreneurs have the ambition and drive to build enormous new companies, but they are also frequently a little strange and control freaks. If Europe is to avoid becoming an investment backwater with nothing more than a drab assortment of very old companies, it would benefit from fewer regulations and more innovators.